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McDonald’s Corporation

🇺🇸 MCD · NYSE/NASDAQ · US5801351017

Consumer

Database · updates weekly
Updated: 2026-08-19
Next update: 2026-08-22
Updates weekly
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Scores

Quality 85/100
Recommended max: 7% of portfolio
Opportunity 30/100

Key Metrics

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P/E (TTM)

22.1

P/E (Price-to-Earnings)
Shows how much investors pay for each $1 of profit. We display the TTM P/E (Trailing Twelve Months) which uses actual earnings from the last 4 quarters. This is more reliable than Forward P/E which uses analyst estimates.

Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM)

3.7x

Latest quarter: 16.1x

Net Debt / EBITDA
A leverage ratio showing how many years of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) it would take to repay net debt. EBITDA approximates operating cash generation. Lower ratios (e.g., <3x) are generally safer; higher (e.g., >5x) may indicate more financial risk.
Latest quarter (2026-06-30): 16.1x
The quarterly value can spike when quarterly EBITDA is very low (e.g., one-time charges).
Quick guide: <2x manageable, >4x can be risky (sector-dependent).

EV/EBITDA

16.4x

EV/EBITDA
A valuation ratio that compares total business value (including debt) to EBITDA. Lower can mean cheaper, but context matters.

Dividend Summary

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Dividend Yield (Fwd)

2.64%

TTM: 2.70%

Dividend Yield
The Forward yield (Fwd) shows the next announced annual dividend / current price — what you'd earn going forward. The Trailing yield (TTM) in the tooltip shows dividends actually paid in the last 12 months. Forward is shown as primary because it reflects the company's current commitment to shareholders.
Forward Yield (estimated): 2.64%
Trailing Yield (TTM, last 12 months): 2.70%

Payout Ratio (Fwd)

59.3% TTM

Payout Ratio
Dividends as a percentage of earnings. The Forward payout (Fwd) uses the announced dividend divided by actual past earnings (TTM) — it tells you if the company can afford what it promised. Very high payouts can be risky, especially if profits fall.
Announced dividend / actual earnings (TTM)

Dividend History

EODHD Dividends API
Status Type Decl. Date Ex-Div Date Pay Date Currency Amount
Forecast* Quarterly 02 Jun 2027 USD 1.86
Forecast* Quarterly 03 Mar 2027 USD 1.86
Forecast* Quarterly 01 Dec 2026 USD 1.86
Declared Quarterly 23 Jul 2026 01 Sep 2026 16 Sep 2026 USD 1.86
Paid Quarterly 20 May 2026 02 Jun 2026 16 Jun 2026 USD 1.86
Paid Quarterly 04 Feb 2026 03 Mar 2026 17 Mar 2026 USD 1.86
Paid Quarterly 22 Oct 2025 01 Dec 2025 15 Dec 2025 USD 1.86
Paid Quarterly 22 Jul 2025 02 Sep 2025 16 Sep 2025 USD 1.77

* Extrapolated from past dividend history. Not an official announcement — treat as an estimate, not a confirmed date or amount.

Summary

McDonald's is a premier global franchisor with an unrivaled competitive moat and highly secure cash flows backed by its massive real estate portfolio. While the fundamental business remains robust and the dividend is exceptionally reliable, current valuations remain elevated. Existing holders should maintain, but new buyers should wait for a better entry point or higher starting yield.

Sector Context

McDonald's operates in the consumer discretionary sector but acts largely as a consumer staple due to its low price points. Its massive, largely owned real estate footprint and highly franchised model insulate it heavily from direct operational cost shocks, making it a defensive DGI holding.

Temporary Opportunity Identified

Short-term consumer traffic pressures driven by macro inflation constraints on lower-income demographics, compounded by elevated input costs.

📊 Strategy Analysis

⚠ What to Watch

📊 Historical Trends (10 Years)

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These charts show how key metrics have evolved over the past decade, helping you identify if the company is improving or deteriorating.

Debt Evolution (Net Debt / EBITDA)

Lower values are better. A declining trend indicates the company is reducing its debt (deleveraging).

Revenue & Earnings Growth

Consistent growth in revenueRevenue
The money a company brings in from selling its products or services. It’s the top line before costs.
(blue) and earningsEarnings (Profit)
What’s left after expenses. Positive earnings mean the business made a profit; negative means a loss.
(green) indicates a healthy business. Look for upward trends and recoveries after temporary dips.

Dividend Sustainability (FCF vs Dividends Paid)

Free cash flowFree Cash Flow
Cash left after the company pays for running the business and maintaining it. Often used to fund dividends, pay debt, or buy back shares.
(FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending.
, blue) should cover dividends paidDividends Paid
Cash the company paid out to shareholders. It’s not guaranteed and can change over time.
(green). If dividends consistently exceed FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending.
, the dividend may be at risk.

Analysis date: 2026-08-15

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

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