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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
🇺🇸 ADM · NYSE/NASDAQ
Consumer
Price at analysis: USD 82.77 Current price: USD 83.28 * updated every night
Scores
Key Metrics
Powered by EODHDP/E (TTM)
22.7
P/E (Price-to-Earnings)Shows how much investors pay for each $1 of profit. We display the TTM P/E (Trailing Twelve Months) which uses actual earnings from the last 4 quarters. This is more reliable than Forward P/E which uses analyst estimates.
Calculation: 82.77 ÷ 3.65 = 22.7
TTM period through: 2026-06-30
Forward P/E (estimated): 15.6
Based on analyst estimates
Reference: Provider P/E (Trailing): 22.7
Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM)
-0.1x
Latest quarter: -0.2x
Net Debt / EBITDAA leverage ratio showing how many years of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) it would take to repay net debt. EBITDA approximates operating cash generation. Lower ratios (e.g., <3x) are generally safer; higher (e.g., >5x) may indicate more financial risk.
TTM through: 2026-06-30
Latest quarter (2026-06-30): -0.2x
The quarterly value can spike when quarterly EBITDA is very low (e.g., one-time charges).
Quick guide: <2x manageable, >4x can be risky (sector-dependent).
ROE
7.6%
ROE (Return on Equity)A profitability measure: how much profit is generated from shareholders’ equity. Higher isn’t always better if it comes from high debt.
EV/EBITDA
12.3x
EV/EBITDAA valuation ratio that compares total business value (including debt) to EBITDA. Lower can mean cheaper, but context matters.
Dividend Summary
Powered by EODHDDividend Yield (Fwd)
2.77%
TTM: 2.46%
Dividend YieldThe Forward yield (Fwd) shows the next announced annual dividend / current price — what you'd earn going forward. The Trailing yield (TTM) in the tooltip shows dividends actually paid in the last 12 months. Forward is shown as primary because it reflects the company's current commitment to shareholders.
Forward Yield (estimated): 2.77%
Trailing Yield (TTM, last 12 months): 2.46%
Payout Ratio (Fwd)
56.9%
TTM: 91.6%
Payout RatioDividends as a percentage of earnings. The Forward payout (Fwd) uses the announced dividend divided by actual past earnings (TTM) — it tells you if the company can afford what it promised. Very high payouts can be risky, especially if profits fall.
Announced dividend / actual earnings (TTM)
Payout (Fwd): 56.9%
Payout (TTM): 91.6%
Cash Flow Payout (TTM): 35.9%
FCF Coverage (TTM): 1.67x
Growth Streak
8 yrs
Consec. increases
Div. Growth (5Y)
7.2%
Dividend History
EODHD Dividends API| Status | Type | Decl. Date | Ex-Div Date | Pay Date | Currency | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecast* | Quarterly | — | 19 Aug 2027 | — | USD | 0.52 |
| Forecast* | Quarterly | — | 20 May 2027 | — | USD | 0.52 |
| Forecast* | Quarterly | — | 17 Feb 2027 | — | USD | 0.52 |
| Forecast* | Quarterly | — | 19 Nov 2026 | — | USD | 0.51 |
| Paid | Quarterly | 05 Aug 2026 | 19 Aug 2026 | 09 Sep 2026 | USD | 0.52 |
| Paid | Quarterly | 06 May 2026 | 20 May 2026 | 10 Jun 2026 | USD | 0.52 |
| Paid | Quarterly | 02 Feb 2026 | 17 Feb 2026 | 10 Mar 2026 | USD | 0.52 |
| Paid | Quarterly | 06 Nov 2025 | 19 Nov 2025 | 11 Dec 2025 | USD | 0.51 |
* Extrapolated from past dividend history. Not an official announcement — treat as an estimate, not a confirmed date or amount.
Summary
ADM remains a structurally vital agribusiness with secure cash flows, a well-covered dividend, and a strong competitive moat reinforced by new EU supply chain regulations. While major existential risks (DOJ/SEC probes) have been favorably settled, the trailing P/E of 22.66x and sluggish 7.64% ROE currently limit the margin of safety. Existing investors should maintain their positions as cyclical headwinds pass, but new buyers may want to wait for a more attractive valuation entry point.
Sector Context
Archer-Daniels-Midland operates as a dominant player in global agricultural processing and nutrition, forming a critical oligopoly (the ABCD companies). The essential nature of the global food supply chain makes it a highly defensive, DGI-compatible business with immense infrastructure moats.
Temporary Opportunity Identified
Cyclical downturn in agricultural processing margins and residual reputational/legal overhang from accounting misstatements in the Nutrition segment, which have now been largely isolated from the core parent company.
📊 Strategy Analysis
- • The core business is heavily moated, with EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) mandates providing a distinct competitive advantage for ADM's traceable supply chains.
- • Major regulatory overhangs have been successfully resolved, including the closing of the DOJ criminal probe and a manageable $40M SEC settlement, significantly de-risking the parent company.
- • The 2.51% forward dividend yield is securely funded, boasting a strong 1.67x Free Cash Flow coverage and a conservative 35.8% cash payout ratio.
⚠ What to Watch
- • Trailing valuation remains elevated at a P/E of 22.66x due to cyclical earnings contractions (5-year EPS CAGR of -14.2%), limiting the margin of safety.
- • Profitability metrics are currently sluggish, reflected in an ROE of just 7.64% and an EBIT margin of 3.23%.
- • While federal probes are settled, unresolved civil litigation—including ongoing shareholder class-actions and the ethanol price manipulation lawsuit—remain active legal exposures.
📊 Historical Trends (10 Years)
Powered by EODHDThese charts show how key metrics have evolved over the past decade, helping you identify if the company is improving or deteriorating.
Debt Evolution (Net Debt / EBITDA)
Lower values are better. A declining trend indicates the company is reducing its debt (deleveraging).
Revenue & Earnings Growth
Consistent growth in revenueRevenue
The money a company brings in from selling its products or services. It’s the top line before costs. (blue) and earningsEarnings (Profit)
What’s left after expenses. Positive earnings mean the business made a profit; negative means a loss. (green) indicates a healthy business. Look for upward trends and recoveries after temporary dips.
Dividend Sustainability (FCF vs Dividends Paid)
Free cash flowFree Cash Flow
Cash left after the company pays for running the business and maintaining it. Often used to fund dividends, pay debt, or buy back shares. (FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending., blue) should cover dividends paidDividends Paid
Cash the company paid out to shareholders. It’s not guaranteed and can change over time. (green). If dividends consistently exceed FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending., the dividend may be at risk.
Analysis date: 2026-10-17
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.