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Publicis Groupe SA
🇫🇷 PUB.PA · Paris · FR0000130577
Communication Services
Price at analysis: EUR 103.10 Current price: EUR 103.10 * updated every night
Scores
Key Metrics
Powered by EODHDP/E (TTM)
16.1
P/E (Price-to-Earnings)Shows how much investors pay for each $1 of profit. We display the TTM P/E (Trailing Twelve Months) which uses actual earnings from the last 4 quarters. This is more reliable than Forward P/E which uses analyst estimates.
Calculation: 103.10 ÷ 6.42 = 16.1
TTM period through: 2026-06-30
Forward P/E (estimated): 11.8
Based on analyst estimates
Reference: Provider P/E (Trailing): 16.4
Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM)
1.0x
Latest quarter: 2.1x
Net Debt / EBITDAA leverage ratio showing how many years of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) it would take to repay net debt. EBITDA approximates operating cash generation. Lower ratios (e.g., <3x) are generally safer; higher (e.g., >5x) may indicate more financial risk.
TTM through: 2026-06-30
Latest quarter (2026-06-30): 2.1x
The quarterly value can spike when quarterly EBITDA is very low (e.g., one-time charges).
Quick guide: <2x manageable, >4x can be risky (sector-dependent).
ROE
16.2%
ROE (Return on Equity)A profitability measure: how much profit is generated from shareholders’ equity. Higher isn’t always better if it comes from high debt.
EV/EBITDA
8.7x
EV/EBITDAA valuation ratio that compares total business value (including debt) to EBITDA. Lower can mean cheaper, but context matters.
Dividend Summary
Powered by EODHDDividend Yield (Fwd)
3.75% TTM
Dividend YieldThe Forward yield (Fwd) shows the next announced annual dividend / current price — what you'd earn going forward. The Trailing yield (TTM) in the tooltip shows dividends actually paid in the last 12 months. Forward is shown as primary because it reflects the company's current commitment to shareholders.
Trailing Yield (TTM, last 12 months): 3.75%
Payout Ratio (Fwd)
58.4%
TTM: 54.6%
Payout RatioDividends as a percentage of earnings. The Forward payout (Fwd) uses the announced dividend divided by actual past earnings (TTM) — it tells you if the company can afford what it promised. Very high payouts can be risky, especially if profits fall.
Announced dividend / actual earnings (TTM)
Payout (Fwd): 58.4%
Payout (TTM): 54.6%
Cash Flow Payout (TTM): 30.4%
FCF Coverage (TTM): 3.01x
Growth Streak
5 yrs
Consec. increases
Div. Growth (5Y)
25.6%
Dividend History
EODHD Dividends API| Status | Type | Decl. Date | Ex-Div Date | Pay Date | Currency | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecast* | Interim | — | 01 Jul 2027 | — | EUR | 3.75 |
| Paid | Interim | 03 Feb 2026 | 01 Jul 2026 | 03 Jul 2026 | EUR | 3.75 |
* Extrapolated from past dividend history. Not an official announcement — treat as an estimate, not a confirmed date or amount.
² Type not provided by EODHD — inferred from historical payment data.
Summary
Publicis Groupe operates a highly profitable, cash-generative agency model currently outperforming peers thanks to its proprietary data platforms. However, with the stock trading near its highs at a 16.05x P/E, there is no value dislocation to exploit today. Existing holders should maintain their positions, but those looking for new entries should wait for a cyclical dip.
Sector Context
Publicis Groupe operates in the Communication Services sector as part of the global advertising agency oligopoly. For a DGI strategy, advertising is a cyclical, non-essential industry heavily reliant on discretionary corporate marketing budgets. However, dominant players like Publicis have built highly embedded, data-driven infrastructures that generate massive cash flows.
📊 Strategy Analysis
- • Strong competitive moat in first-party data (via Epsilon and CORE ID), insulating the agency from third-party cookie deprecation and driving a recent 5% organic revenue growth rate.
- • Excellent financial health with deleveraging bringing Net Debt/EBITDA down to 0.99x alongside an attractive 16.18% ROE.
- • Robust dividend coverage with a Cash Flow Payout of just 30.41% and FCF Dividend Coverage at 3.01x, protecting the 3.75% current yield.
⚠ What to Watch
- • Valuation is fully priced with a P/E of 16.05x, and the stock is trading less than 1% below its 52-week high, offering no immediate margin of safety.
- • The company's dividend track record includes a severe -45.8% cut during the 2020 COVID-19 crisis, highlighting the inherent cyclical vulnerability of advertising budgets to macroeconomic shocks.
- • Ongoing structural compliance burdens related to evolving global data privacy regulations (GDPR, CCPA) which require constant technology and legal investments.
📊 Historical Trends (10 Years)
Powered by EODHDThese charts show how key metrics have evolved over the past decade, helping you identify if the company is improving or deteriorating.
Debt Evolution (Net Debt / EBITDA)
Lower values are better. A declining trend indicates the company is reducing its debt (deleveraging).
Revenue & Earnings Growth
Consistent growth in revenueRevenue
The money a company brings in from selling its products or services. It’s the top line before costs. (blue) and earningsEarnings (Profit)
What’s left after expenses. Positive earnings mean the business made a profit; negative means a loss. (green) indicates a healthy business. Look for upward trends and recoveries after temporary dips.
Dividend Sustainability (FCF vs Dividends Paid)
Free cash flowFree Cash Flow
Cash left after the company pays for running the business and maintaining it. Often used to fund dividends, pay debt, or buy back shares. (FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending., blue) should cover dividends paidDividends Paid
Cash the company paid out to shareholders. It’s not guaranteed and can change over time. (green). If dividends consistently exceed FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending., the dividend may be at risk.
Analysis date: 2026-10-17
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.