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American Electric Power Co Inc

🇺🇸 AEP · NYSE/NASDAQ

Utilities

Database · updates weekly

Price at analysis: USD 125.72 Current price: USD 125.21 * updated every night

Updated: 2026-10-17
Next update: 2026-10-24
Updates weekly
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Scores

Quality 84/100
Recommended max: 7% of portfolio
Opportunity 30/100

Key Metrics

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P/E (TTM)

21.6

P/E (Price-to-Earnings)
Shows how much investors pay for each $1 of profit. We display the TTM P/E (Trailing Twelve Months) which uses actual earnings from the last 4 quarters. This is more reliable than Forward P/E which uses analyst estimates.
Calculation: 125.72 ÷ 5.82 = 21.6
TTM period through: 2026-06-30

Forward P/E (estimated): 17.2
Based on analyst estimates

Reference: Provider P/E (Trailing): 21.5

Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM)

6.2x

Latest quarter: 23.4x

Net Debt / EBITDA
A leverage ratio showing how many years of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) it would take to repay net debt. EBITDA approximates operating cash generation. Lower ratios (e.g., <3x) are generally safer; higher (e.g., >5x) may indicate more financial risk.
TTM through: 2026-06-30
Latest quarter (2026-06-30): 23.4x
The quarterly value can spike when quarterly EBITDA is very low (e.g., one-time charges).
Quick guide: <2x manageable, >4x can be risky (sector-dependent).

ROE

10.1%

ROE (Return on Equity)
A profitability measure: how much profit is generated from shareholders’ equity. Higher isn’t always better if it comes from high debt.

EV/EBITDA

12.6x

EV/EBITDA
A valuation ratio that compares total business value (including debt) to EBITDA. Lower can mean cheaper, but context matters.

Dividend Summary

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Dividend Yield (Fwd)

2.98%

TTM: 3.00%

Dividend Yield
The Forward yield (Fwd) shows the next announced annual dividend / current price — what you'd earn going forward. The Trailing yield (TTM) in the tooltip shows dividends actually paid in the last 12 months. Forward is shown as primary because it reflects the company's current commitment to shareholders.
Forward Yield (estimated): 2.98%
Trailing Yield (TTM, last 12 months): 3.00%

Payout Ratio (Fwd)

65.3%

TTM: 65.2%

Payout Ratio
Dividends as a percentage of earnings. The Forward payout (Fwd) uses the announced dividend divided by actual past earnings (TTM) — it tells you if the company can afford what it promised. Very high payouts can be risky, especially if profits fall.
Announced dividend / actual earnings (TTM)
Payout (Fwd): 65.3%
Payout (TTM): 65.2%
Cash Flow Payout (TTM): 26.9%
FCF Coverage (TTM): 4.38x

Growth Streak

8 yrs

Consec. increases

Div. Growth (5Y)

5.7%

Dividend History

EODHD Dividends API
Status Type Decl. Date Ex-Div Date Pay Date Currency Amount
Forecast* Quarterly — 10 Aug 2027 — USD 0.95
Forecast* Quarterly — 08 May 2027 — USD 0.95
Forecast* Quarterly — 10 Feb 2027 — USD 0.95
Forecast* Quarterly — 10 Nov 2026 — USD 0.95
Paid Quarterly 20 Jul 2026 10 Aug 2026 10 Sep 2026 USD 0.95
Paid Quarterly 28 Apr 2026 08 May 2026 10 Jun 2026 USD 0.95
Paid Quarterly 20 Jan 2026 10 Feb 2026 10 Mar 2026 USD 0.95
Paid Quarterly 22 Oct 2025 10 Nov 2025 10 Dec 2025 USD 0.95

* Extrapolated from past dividend history. Not an official announcement — treat as an estimate, not a confirmed date or amount.

Summary

American Electric Power is a premier regulated utility benefiting from a durable natural monopoly and massive long-term load growth from data center electrification. While the underlying business quality is excellent and recent legal overhangs have been successfully resolved, the current valuation of 21.61x P/E is too stretched to offer an attractive entry point. Existing holders should maintain their positions, but new investors should wait for a market dip to secure a higher starting yield.

Sector Context

American Electric Power is a massive regulated electric utility operating the nation's largest transmission network. For a DGI strategy, it is a textbook essential-service holding, providing highly predictable, regulated cash flows that support steady dividend growth, though its inherent capital intensity limits rapid dividend hikes.

Temporary Opportunity Identified

Historical legal and regulatory overhangs (such as the SEC lobbying investigation) have recently been settled, but the market has already priced in these favorable resolutions.

📊 Strategy Analysis

⚠ What to Watch

📊 Historical Trends (10 Years)

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These charts show how key metrics have evolved over the past decade, helping you identify if the company is improving or deteriorating.

Debt Evolution (Net Debt / EBITDA)

Lower values are better. A declining trend indicates the company is reducing its debt (deleveraging).

Revenue & Earnings Growth

Consistent growth in revenueRevenue
The money a company brings in from selling its products or services. It’s the top line before costs.
(blue) and earningsEarnings (Profit)
What’s left after expenses. Positive earnings mean the business made a profit; negative means a loss.
(green) indicates a healthy business. Look for upward trends and recoveries after temporary dips.

Dividend Sustainability (FCF vs Dividends Paid)

Free cash flowFree Cash Flow
Cash left after the company pays for running the business and maintaining it. Often used to fund dividends, pay debt, or buy back shares.
(FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending.
, blue) should cover dividends paidDividends Paid
Cash the company paid out to shareholders. It’s not guaranteed and can change over time.
(green). If dividends consistently exceed FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending.
, the dividend may be at risk.

Analysis date: 2026-10-17

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

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