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AT&T Inc.

🇺🇸 T · NYSE/NASDAQ · US00206R1023

Telecom

Database · updates weekly

USD 20.53 price at analysis

Updated: 2026-07-04
Next update: 2026-07-11
Updates weekly
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Scores

Quality 75/100
Opportunity 85/100

Key Metrics

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P/E (TTM)

6.9

P/E (Price-to-Earnings)
Shows how much investors pay for each $1 of profit. We display the TTM P/E (Trailing Twelve Months) which uses actual earnings from the last 4 quarters. This is more reliable than Forward P/E which uses analyst estimates.
Calculation: 20.53 ÷ 2.99 = 6.9
TTM period through: 2026-03-31

Forward P/E (estimated): 8.9
Based on analyst estimates

Reference: Provider P/E (Trailing): 6.9

Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM)

2.8x

Latest quarter: 12.5x

Net Debt / EBITDA
A leverage ratio showing how many years of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) it would take to repay net debt. EBITDA approximates operating cash generation. Lower ratios (e.g., <3x) are generally safer; higher (e.g., >5x) may indicate more financial risk.
TTM through: 2026-03-31
Latest quarter (2026-03-31): 12.5x
The quarterly value can spike when quarterly EBITDA is very low (e.g., one-time charges).
Quick guide: <2x manageable, >4x can be risky (sector-dependent).

ROE

18.4%

ROE (Return on Equity)
A profitability measure: how much profit is generated from shareholders’ equity. Higher isn’t always better if it comes from high debt.

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

EV/EBITDA
A valuation ratio that compares total business value (including debt) to EBITDA. Lower can mean cheaper, but context matters.

Dividend Summary

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Dividend Yield (Fwd)

5.41%

TTM: 5.42%

Dividend Yield
The Forward yield (Fwd) shows the next announced annual dividend / current price — what you'd earn going forward. The Trailing yield (TTM) in the tooltip shows dividends actually paid in the last 12 months. Forward is shown as primary because it reflects the company's current commitment to shareholders.
Forward Yield (estimated): 5.41%
Trailing Yield (TTM, last 12 months): 5.42%

Payout Ratio (Fwd)

37.1%

TTM: 37.8%

Payout Ratio
Dividends as a percentage of earnings. The Forward payout (Fwd) uses the announced dividend divided by actual past earnings (TTM) — it tells you if the company can afford what it promised. Very high payouts can be risky, especially if profits fall.
Announced dividend / actual earnings (TTM)
Payout (Fwd): 37.1%
Payout (TTM): 37.8%
Cash Flow Payout (TTM): 20.8%
FCF Coverage (TTM): 2.15x

Div. Growth (5Y)

-11.8%

Dividend History

EODHD Dividends API
Status Type Decl. Date Ex-Div Date Pay Date Currency Amount
Forecast* Quarterly 10 Apr 2027 USD 0.278
Forecast* Quarterly 12 Jan 2027 USD 0.278
Forecast* Quarterly 10 Oct 2026 USD 0.278
Declared Quarterly 24 Jun 2026 10 Jul 2026 03 Aug 2026 USD 0.2775
Paid Quarterly 27 Mar 2026 10 Apr 2026 01 May 2026 USD 0.278
Paid Quarterly 15 Dec 2025 12 Jan 2026 02 Feb 2026 USD 0.278
Paid Quarterly 25 Sep 2025 10 Oct 2025 03 Nov 2025 USD 0.278
Paid Quarterly 25 Jun 2025 10 Jul 2025 01 Aug 2025 USD 0.278

* Extrapolated from past dividend history. Not an official announcement — treat as an estimate, not a confirmed date or amount.

Summary

AT&T operates a highly stable essential service oligopoly, providing critical mobile and broadband connectivity. Trading at $20.53, well below our P/FFO fair value estimate of $55.48-$83.21, this represents a substantial upside to fair value and is worth considering for new positions. The 5.4% dividend yield is exceptionally well-covered by free cash flow, and recent favorable regulatory rulings along with the dismissal of major legal overhangs significantly strengthen the long-term investment case.

Sector Context

AT&T is a dominant provider of essential mobile telecommunications and broadband internet services in the United States. In the telecom sector, massive infrastructure investments (like 5G and fiber) require elevated debt levels, but these create deep competitive moats and highly recurring revenues that are ideal for sustaining long-term dividend payouts.

Temporary Opportunity Identified

Market overreaction to a non-cash goodwill impairment charge in the legacy Business Wireline unit and past strategic dividend resets, obscuring strong underlying free cash flow generation and the resolution of major legal overhangs.

📊 Strategy Analysis

⚠ What to Watch

📊 Historical Trends (10 Years)

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These charts show how key metrics have evolved over the past decade, helping you identify if the company is improving or deteriorating.

Debt Evolution (Net Debt / EBITDA)

Lower values are better. A declining trend indicates the company is reducing its debt (deleveraging).

Revenue & Earnings Growth

Consistent growth in revenueRevenue
The money a company brings in from selling its products or services. It’s the top line before costs.
(blue) and earningsEarnings (Profit)
What’s left after expenses. Positive earnings mean the business made a profit; negative means a loss.
(green) indicates a healthy business. Look for upward trends and recoveries after temporary dips.

Dividend Sustainability (FCF vs Dividends Paid)

Free cash flowFree Cash Flow
Cash left after the company pays for running the business and maintaining it. Often used to fund dividends, pay debt, or buy back shares.
(FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending.
, blue) should cover dividends paidDividends Paid
Cash the company paid out to shareholders. It’s not guaranteed and can change over time.
(green). If dividends consistently exceed FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending.
, the dividend may be at risk.

Analysis date: 2026-07-04

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.

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