Mercedes-Benz Group AG
🇩🇪 MBG.XETRA · Frankfurt · DE0007100000
Consumer
EUR 52.71 price at analysis
Scores
Key Metrics
Powered by EODHDP/E (TTM)
10.2
P/E (Price-to-Earnings)Shows how much investors pay for each $1 of profit. We display the TTM P/E (Trailing Twelve Months) which uses actual earnings from the last 4 quarters. This is more reliable than Forward P/E which uses analyst estimates.
Calculation: 52.71 ÷ 5.15 = 10.2
TTM period through: 2025-12-31
Forward P/E (estimated): 9.5
Based on analyst estimates
Reference: Provider P/E (Trailing): 9.9
Yield (Fwd)
6.64%
Dividend YieldThe Forward yield (Fwd) shows the next announced annual dividend / current price — what you'd earn going forward. The Trailing yield (TTM) in the tooltip shows dividends actually paid in the last 12 months. Forward is shown as primary because it reflects the company's current commitment to shareholders.
Trailing Yield (TTM): 6.62%
Net Debt/EBITDA (TTM)
4.1x
Latest quarter: 28.7x
Net Debt / EBITDAA leverage ratio showing how many years of EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) it would take to repay net debt. EBITDA approximates operating cash generation. Lower ratios (e.g., <3x) are generally safer; higher (e.g., >5x) may indicate more financial risk.
TTM through: 2025-12-31
Latest quarter (2025-12-31): 28.7x
The quarterly value can spike when quarterly EBITDA is very low (e.g., one-time charges).
Quick guide: <2x manageable, >4x can be risky (sector-dependent).
Payout (Fwd)
68.0%
Payout RatioDividends as a percentage of earnings. The Forward payout (Fwd) uses the announced dividend divided by actual past earnings (TTM) — it tells you if the company can afford what it promised. Very high payouts can be risky, especially if profits fall.
Announced dividend / actual earnings (TTM)
Payout (TTM): 80.5%
Cash Flow Payout (TTM): 23.0%
FCF Coverage (TTM): 3.03x
ROE
5.7%
ROE (Return on Equity)A profitability measure: how much profit is generated from shareholders’ equity. Higher isn’t always better if it comes from high debt.
EV/EBITDA
7.9x
EV/EBITDAA valuation ratio that compares total business value (including debt) to EBITDA. Lower can mean cheaper, but context matters.
Summary
Mercedes-Benz Group operates a premium global auto brand but faces severe structural headwinds from the capital-intensive electric vehicle transition, making it a poor fit for conservative dividend strategies. While the P/E of 10.24 appears cheap, the announced 36.1% dividend reduction and rising leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.06x) highlight the execution risks ahead. Not recommended for new positions, as better opportunities exist in stable, essential service businesses with predictable business models.
Sector Context
Mercedes-Benz Group is a global manufacturer of premium luxury automobiles and commercial vans. The automotive sector is highly cyclical, extremely capital-intensive, and currently undergoing a massive structural transition toward electric vehicles, making it fundamentally incompatible with strategies seeking predictable, utility-like cash flows.
Temporary Opportunity Identified
Geopolitical supply chain disruptions and weak cyclical luxury auto demand are temporarily depressing margins, but the broader EV transition represents a permanent structural challenge rather than a temporary dip.
📊 Strategy Analysis
- • Trading at an optically attractive P/E of 10.24, which falls within the strategy's target valuation range for deep value identification.
- • Current TTM dividend yield of 6.62% appears robust prior to the forthcoming proposed board adjustments.
- • Maintains a leading premium brand position that provides some pricing power in a highly competitive automotive market.
⚠ What to Watch
- • Board has proposed a severe 36.1% upcoming dividend cut (from €5.48 to €3.50), reflecting significant financial strain and cash preservation needs.
- • Strategy mismatch: The cyclical automotive sector and massive capital requirements for the EV transition conflict with the strategy's focus on predictable, essential utility monopolies.
- • Fundamentals show long-term deterioration, marked by a 5-year EPS CAGR of -24.9% and operating margins contracting significantly.
- • Net Debt/EBITDA of 4.06x exceeds the strategy's strict 4.0x safety threshold, indicating elevated financial risk during a capital-intensive transition.
📊 Historical Trends (10 Years)
Powered by EODHDThese charts show how key metrics have evolved over the past decade, helping you identify if the company is improving or deteriorating.
Debt Evolution (Net Debt / EBITDA)
Lower values are better. A declining trend indicates the company is reducing its debt (deleveraging).
Revenue & Earnings Growth
Consistent growth in revenueRevenue
The money a company brings in from selling its products or services. It’s the top line before costs. (blue) and earningsEarnings (Profit)
What’s left after expenses. Positive earnings mean the business made a profit; negative means a loss. (green) indicates a healthy business. Look for upward trends and recoveries after temporary dips.
Dividend Sustainability (FCF vs Dividends Paid)
Free cash flowFree Cash Flow
Cash left after the company pays for running the business and maintaining it. Often used to fund dividends, pay debt, or buy back shares. (FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending., blue) should cover dividends paidDividends Paid
Cash the company paid out to shareholders. It’s not guaranteed and can change over time. (green). If dividends consistently exceed FCFFCF (Free Cash Flow)
Short for Free Cash Flow: cash left after operating needs and maintenance spending., the dividend may be at risk.
Analysis date: 2026-04-05
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.